STZ AI
Weekly research briefing · ShapeTheZone LLC
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Nine sectors · up to five in each · every week

Stock tips written by a research engine, read in four minutes.

Every week our model scores a broad universe of U.S. stocks and mails you the standouts with entry and exit levels — plus a separate weekly scorecard of how the last calls did.

Double opt-in — we email you a link to confirm. Unsubscribe anytime, one click. No spam, no selling your address.

A year of picks, replayed Backtest — not live performance
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 2025-07-03 — S&P 500 +0.0% 2025-08-01 — S&P 500 -0.6% 2025-08-29 — S&P 500 +3.2% 2025-09-26 — S&P 500 +6.1% 2025-10-24 — S&P 500 +8.6% 2025-11-21 — S&P 500 +5.7% 2025-12-19 — S&P 500 +9.5% 2026-01-16 — S&P 500 +11.2% 2026-02-13 — S&P 500 +9.6% 2026-03-13 — S&P 500 +6.5% 2026-04-10 — S&P 500 +9.6% 2026-05-08 — S&P 500 +19.0% 2026-06-05 — S&P 500 +18.9% 2026-07-03 — S&P 500 +21.5% 2025-07-03 — Nasdaq (QQQ) +0.0% 2025-08-01 — Nasdaq (QQQ) -0.4% 2025-08-29 — Nasdaq (QQQ) +2.5% 2025-09-26 — Nasdaq (QQQ) +7.3% 2025-10-24 — Nasdaq (QQQ) +11.1% 2025-11-21 — Nasdaq (QQQ) +6.2% 2025-12-19 — Nasdaq (QQQ) +11.1% 2026-01-16 — Nasdaq (QQQ) +12.0% 2026-02-13 — Nasdaq (QQQ) +8.5% 2026-03-13 — Nasdaq (QQQ) +7.0% 2026-04-10 — Nasdaq (QQQ) +10.3% 2026-05-08 — Nasdaq (QQQ) +28.3% 2026-06-05 — Nasdaq (QQQ) +27.2% 2026-07-03 — Nasdaq (QQQ) +30.6% 2025-07-03 — Dow (DIA) +0.0% 2025-08-01 — Dow (DIA) -2.7% 2025-08-29 — Dow (DIA) +1.9% 2025-09-26 — Dow (DIA) +3.6% 2025-10-24 — Dow (DIA) +5.8% 2025-11-21 — Dow (DIA) +3.8% 2025-12-19 — Dow (DIA) +8.2% 2026-01-16 — Dow (DIA) +11.0% 2026-02-13 — Dow (DIA) +11.4% 2026-03-13 — Dow (DIA) +5.1% 2026-04-10 — Dow (DIA) +8.2% 2026-05-08 — Dow (DIA) +12.0% 2026-06-05 — Dow (DIA) +15.2% 2026-07-03 — Dow (DIA) +20.1% 2025-07-03 — STZ picks +0.0% 2025-08-01 — STZ picks +2.6% 2025-08-29 — STZ picks +7.2% 2025-09-26 — STZ picks +13.5% 2025-10-24 — STZ picks +16.7% 2025-11-21 — STZ picks +9.0% 2025-12-19 — STZ picks +15.3% 2026-01-16 — STZ picks +21.2% 2026-02-13 — STZ picks +18.6% 2026-03-13 — STZ picks +16.2% 2026-04-10 — STZ picks +21.9% 2026-05-08 — STZ picks +40.9% 2026-06-05 — STZ picks +46.2% 2026-07-03 — STZ picks +51.0% STZ picks +51.0%
STZ picks (backtest) +51.0% S&P 500 +21.5% Nasdaq (QQQ) +30.6% Dow (DIA) +20.1%
Alpha vs S&P 500 +24.9pp annualized, same year
Sharpe ratio 2.12 S&P 1.72 · QQQ 1.17
Sortino ratio 2.75 downside risk only
Max drawdown −9.4% QQQ −12.2%

Risk-adjusted, in plain English: the amber line took more day-to-day swing than the S&P 500 (22% vs 13% annualized volatility) — but it earned more than double the return per unit of that swing. Sharpe is exactly that ratio (computed gross of a cash rate); Sortino counts only downward swings; max drawdown is the worst peak-to-trough dip of the year — shallower here than simply owning the Nasdaq 100. Marked daily; depending on the start week the Sharpe lands between 1.87–2.12.

How to read this: we ran the model back over the last year (Jul 2025 – Jul 2026) and pretended to invest along with it — every 4 weeks, put an equal amount into each stock it ranked top of its sector that week, hold for 4 weeks, repeat. The amber line is what that portfolio would have grown to; the dotted lines are simply owning an index fund instead — the S&P 500, the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) or the Dow (DIA). Depending on which week the 4-week cycle starts, the result lands between +42.7% and +51.0%.

The honest caveats: this is a simulation, not money we managed — no trading costs or taxes, and it scores today's stock list, which quietly favors survivors (companies that failed along the way never make such a list). Past results, real or simulated, don't predict future ones.

Two emails a week — the calls, then the receipts

Researched, not hyped. A static, documented model — the system never quietly changes its mind.
Scored in public. A separate weekly scorecard email grades every prior pick, wins and losses alike.
Decision support only. We publish research. We don't trade your money and we don't sell order flow.

The model, in plain english

What's behind a pick — and what an STZ score means

Every week the engine scores a broad universe of U.S. stocks across nine sectors and mails the standouts in each. No black box theatrics and no chatbot guesses: each pick carries a one-line, auditable "why" built from the signals that actually drove its score.

Fundamentals

How the business is actually doing — earnings delivery, growth and what the street expects next. The quarterly-report half of the product.

Trend

Whether the market is already voting with the thesis — the shape of the price path over the past year, not a single day's move.

Timing

Technical texture that separates "good company" from "good entry this week", drawn from daily price action.

Participation

Whether money is actually moving into the name right now, judged against the stock's own recent baseline.

The STZ score blends those components onto a 0–100 scale, computed within each sector — an STZ 81 is a strong candidate in its sector, not a market-wide guarantee.
Entry, exit and horizon come from the same machinery: a suggested entry level, a target grounded in the evidence, and a holding horizon that reflects what's driving the pick.
The model is static and scored in public. It never quietly re-tunes itself, and every week's scorecard grades the previous picks — wins, losses, and all. The precise recipe stays our secret.

How the research is produced → — the full pipeline, the operating principles, and exactly what stays proprietary.

Two narrower reports · access arranged by email

Two things the free email doesn't carry

The weekly sector tips stay free, and they stay the same. The engine also produces a weekly Top 5 High Conviction list and a daily Index Levels read on the index complex. Both are handled by email, one reader at a time.

See a real sample of both → Genuine past output, redacted only where the withheld part is the whole point of the report.

How access is turned on. Write to signal@shapethezone.ai saying which one you're interested in. Access is switched on by hand against your email address, so write from the address you want the reports sent to.

Research only — these are the same model's opinions, kept separate because they're narrower work, not because they're guaranteed. Nothing here is investment advice, and past results don't predict future ones.

Support the site

The weekly email is free, and stays free. The model behind it took months to build, runs every week, and gets checked against what actually happened — a contribution covers the server time and model calls behind an issue, and the hours that go into keeping it honest. That's what keeps the research independent, with no paywall, no ads and nothing sold about you. Give whatever it's worth to you. Entirely your call.

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